I've seen single 8800gts and they are nice, but i've also seen a single 9600gt and that performed well considering. I'm not completely positive but the answer is (Obviously) get a HD4870, otherwiser, I'd pick the 8800. Although I think the dual 9600's have more potential I've heard and seen to many SLI horror stories.
with the prices (Before the ecenomic crisis) on higher end 9 series cards dropping eg 9800's. It's all a matter of what is easier to get your hands on.
Then again
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